La Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-01 · 20:00
12.0446.2%
X3.4327.5%
23.5726.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Girona
WDLWDWLWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Mallorca
LDDLLLLDLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.20
Against
7.70
8.30
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Girona attack

1.30goals per match
Mallorca conceded1.90
Matchup

Mallorca attack

0.70goals per match
Girona conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
7.70
8.30
Match total
10.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.10
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
22.50
Match total
23.00

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
4.20
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches551
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%46.3%+0.1 pp
Draw27.5%27.6%+0.1 pp
Away26.4%26.1%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.561.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-011.4%
2-19.6%
1-27.6%
3-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.594.46
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=551.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches176
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.9%30.2%–44.3% CI
Draw FT38.6%31.8%–46.0% CI
Away FT24.4%18.7%–31.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.0%
2+ goals48.3%
3+ goals19.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.2%
Away49.4%