La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-26 · 20:00
12.0346.0%
X3.3527.9%
23.5726.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WWWLWLWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Celta
WDWLDDWDWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.60
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.40
Against
5.10
9.50
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
3.20
Total goals
2.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.20goals per match
Celta conceded1.00
Matchup

Celta attack

1.20goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.10
9.50
Match total
8.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.70
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
24.80
Match total
24.30

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
5.40
On target
4.00
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches389
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.0%45.5%-0.5 pp
Draw27.9%27.8%-0.1 pp
Away26.1%26.7%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.541.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
1-010.8%
2-19.5%
1-27.2%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.664.39
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=389.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches126
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%27.9%–44.4% CI
Draw FT42.1%33.8%–50.8% CI
Away FT22.2%15.8%–30.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals19.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.3%
Away50.0%