La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-26 · 17:30
12.0345.9%
X3.3527.8%
23.5526.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Osasuna
LWWDWDWDWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Sevilla
LDLDLWDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.90N=10
3.50
Against
4.20
8.30
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
2.10
3.00
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Osasuna attack

1.80goals per match
Sevilla conceded2.10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.00goals per match
Osasuna conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.20
8.30
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.10
Match total
5.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.40
Match total
25.90

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
5.30
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches774
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%48.3%+2.4 pp
Draw27.8%28.0%+0.2 pp
Away26.3%23.6%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS49.4%

Historical average

1.470.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
1-012.7%
2-010.2%
2-110.1%
0-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.364.38
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=774.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches261
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.5%33.7%–45.5% CI
Draw FT38.3%32.6%–44.3% CI
Away FT22.2%17.6%–27.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals13.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.0%
Away40.2%