La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-26 · 13:00
12.6235.6%
X3.2328.9%
22.6335.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
DDWLWDWDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Sociedad
DWLDWDLWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
0.70
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.20
Against
4.30
10.40
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.40goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.60
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.30goals per match
Vallecano conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.30
10.40
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.10
Match total
3.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
23.90
Match total
26.00

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
5.80
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,079
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.6%33.1%-2.5 pp
Draw28.9%27.3%-1.6 pp
Away35.5%39.6%+4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.221.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
0-110.1%
1-010.0%
1-29.9%
2-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.074.69
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,079.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches340
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT29.1%24.5%–34.2% CI
Draw FT36.5%31.5%–41.7% CI
Away FT34.4%29.6%–39.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.6%
2+ goals39.4%
3+ goals15.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.7%
Away54.1%