La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 20:00
12.1643.4%
X3.4826.9%
23.1529.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WWWWWLWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Ath Bilbao
LWLDLLWDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.10
Against
3.20
12.10
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

2.00goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.90
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

0.90goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.20
12.10
Match total
8.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.50
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
18.00
Match total
25.00

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
6.80
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches990
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.4%44.0%+0.7 pp
Draw26.9%28.7%+1.8 pp
Away29.7%27.3%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.501.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
1-010.1%
2-19.0%
2-08.4%
1-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.624.43
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=989.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches300
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.7%30.5%–41.2% CI
Draw FT38.7%33.3%–44.3% CI
Away FT25.7%21.1%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.3%
2+ goals42.7%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.7%
Away44.7%