La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 17:30
12.0645.5%
X3.3927.6%
23.4926.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
DWDDDWLWWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Girona
LWWWLDDDLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.40
1H goals
0.70
2.30
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.40
Against
4.80
9.80
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.40goals per match
Girona conceded1.20
Matchup

Girona attack

1.10goals per match
Valencia conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
90%9/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.80
9.80
Match total
8.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.70
Match total
4.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
26.80
Match total
26.60

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.40
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches510
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.5%46.1%+0.6 pp
Draw27.6%29.2%+1.6 pp
Away26.9%24.7%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

1.481.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
1-011.4%
2-111.0%
2-07.8%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.464.55
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=510.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches168
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.5%30.5%–45.0% CI
Draw FT39.9%32.8%–47.4% CI
Away FT22.6%16.9%–29.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.4%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals13.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.5%
Away47.6%