La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 13:00
12.1344.0%
X3.1330.0%
23.6126.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alaves
WLWLDWLDDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Mallorca
LLDDLLLLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
1.30
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.60
Against
7.20
9.80
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.20goals per match
Mallorca conceded2.00
Matchup

Mallorca attack

0.60goals per match
Alaves conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
7.20
9.80
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.90
Match total
4.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
30.00
Match total
21.80

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.40
On target
2.70
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches901
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.0%44.3%+0.2 pp
Draw30.0%32.0%+2.0 pp
Away26.0%23.8%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.401.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.3%
1-011.3%
2-111.1%
0-08.9%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.214.27
Average total9.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=900.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.525.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches290
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.6%32.2%–43.3% CI
Draw FT42.1%36.5%–47.8% CI
Away FT20.3%16.1%–25.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away42.1%