La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-23 · 20:30
13.6625.6%
X3.3228.2%
22.0346.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Oviedo
DDDDDWLLWW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Villarreal
WWLDLWLDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
1.40
0.40
Conceded
1.60
10%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.30
1H goals
1.40
0.60
2H goals
1.60
40%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.40
Against
5.80
9.30
Total
8.40
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.40
0.40
Goals conceded
1.60
0.90
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Oviedo attack
0.50goals per matchVillarreal conceded1.60Matchup
Villarreal attack
1.40goals per matchOviedo conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.80
9.30
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.10
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
24.80
Match total
26.20
Shots
10.30N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.50
On target
3.50
5%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches281
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.6%22.4%-3.2 pp
Draw28.2%29.5%+1.3 pp
Away46.2%48.0%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS55.2%
Historical average
1.11–1.63
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
1-211.4%
0-18.9%
0-28.5%
0-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.33–5.25
Average total9.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=281.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.546.6%
Over 10.535.2%
Over 11.526.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.3%12.9%–30.4% CI
Draw FT44.3%33.9%–55.3% CI
Away FT35.4%25.8%–46.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals44.3%
3+ goals17.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.0%
Away58.2%