La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-23 · 19:00
12.0845.0%
X3.2029.3%
23.6525.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
DDDWLWDWDW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Espanol
WWDLLLDLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.20
Against
4.90
10.80
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
2.10
2.20
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.40goals per match
Espanol conceded2.10
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.30goals per match
Vallecano conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.90
10.80
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.70
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
23.20
Match total
26.30

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.90
On target
3.10
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches508
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.0%44.3%-0.8 pp
Draw29.3%28.9%-0.3 pp
Away25.7%26.8%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

1.391.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-012.8%
0-09.4%
2-19.4%
0-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.434.16
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=508.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.548.2%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.1%30.2%–44.7% CI
Draw FT41.3%34.1%–48.9% CI
Away FT21.6%16.0%–28.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals34.1%
3+ goals11.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.9%
Away37.1%