La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-22 · 20:30
11.2376.7%
X6.7214.0%
210.259.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Celta
WWDWLDDWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

3.10
Scored
1.30
0.60
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.50
2.00
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.90
Against
5.00
11.70
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded
0.90
3.70
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

3.10goals per match
Celta conceded0.90
Matchup

Celta attack

1.30goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.00
11.70
Match total
8.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.60
Match total
3.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
21.80
Match total
25.60

Shots

18.90N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
7.20
On target
4.10
16%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.7%72.1%-4.7 pp
Draw14.0%16.3%+2.2 pp
Away9.2%11.6%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.0%
Over 2.581.4%
Over 3.553.5%
BTTS69.8%

Historical average

3.071.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.3%
5-19.3%
4-17.0%
1-17.0%
1-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.673.00
Average total10.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.1%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.551.2%
Over 11.541.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away41.7%