La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-22 · 19:00
12.2242.4%
X3.0131.3%
23.5826.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
LLDWWWDWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Getafe
LLLDDWWLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.70
1.60
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
20%
90%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
2.50
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.30
Against
6.50
11.10
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
3.90
Total goals
1.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
90%9/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

2.30goals per match
Getafe conceded1.20
Matchup

Getafe attack

0.70goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.50
11.10
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.70
Match total
6.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
25.60
Match total
29.30

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.50
On target
2.90
17%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches600
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.4%43.5%+1.1 pp
Draw31.3%29.8%-1.4 pp
Away26.3%26.7%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.516.8%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.240.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.5%
1-113.3%
0-111.2%
2-110.8%
0-010.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.843.88
Average total8.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=600.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.0%
Over 9.537.2%
Over 10.528.2%
Over 11.519.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches233
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.2%26.5%–38.4% CI
Draw FT41.6%35.5%–48.0% CI
Away FT26.2%21.0%–32.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.1%
2+ goals33.5%
3+ goals15.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.4%
Away47.6%