La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-22 · 18:00
12.6535.5%
X3.6126.0%
22.4438.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
DWWLDLDDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Ath Madrid
WLLWDDLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.70
Against
5.10
9.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.80goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded1.30
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.00goals per match
Elche conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.10
9.20
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.40
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
26.50
Match total
21.30

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.80
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier B
Comparable matches453
Method1X2 + O/U
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.5%35.3%-0.1 pp
Draw26.0%29.6%+3.6 pp
Away38.5%35.1%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.533.1%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

1.451.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
2-18.2%
1-27.3%
2-27.1%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.195.05
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=453.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.547.2%
Over 11.536.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches111
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.6%31.0%–48.9% CI
Draw FT34.2%26.1%–43.5% CI
Away FT26.1%18.9%–35.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.6%
2+ goals55.9%
3+ goals19.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.2%
Away55.9%