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La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-21 · 20:30

Real Madrid

vs

Alaves

11.2376.9%
X6.4614.6%
211.238.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
LWWWWWLWWD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Alaves
LLLLWDLLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
2.20
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.20
Against
5.80
10.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
2.30
3.30
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.30goals per match
Alaves conceded2.30
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.40goals per match
Real Madrid conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.80
10.10
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.30
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
24.00
Match total
26.90

Shots

18.40N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
7.80
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches126
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.9%72.2%-4.7 pp
Draw14.6%19.0%+4.4 pp
Away8.4%8.7%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.544.4%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

2.47–0.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-110.3%
2-110.3%
2-010.3%
1-110.3%
3-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.08–2.76
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=126.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.525.4%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI
Draw FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT17.4%7.0%–37.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals56.5%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.9%
Away47.8%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamReal MadridForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamAlavesForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareReal Madrid vs AlavesCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionLa LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsLa Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.