La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-21 · 18:00
12.5137.4%
X3.1230.1%
22.8832.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mallorca
DWLWWLLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Valencia
DLLWLWLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.30
90%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.00N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.70
Against
4.70
9.70
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
3.40
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mallorca attack
2.10goals per matchValencia conceded1.30Matchup
Valencia attack
1.00goals per matchMallorca conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.70
9.70
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.60
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
25.10
Match total
23.60
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
5.20
On target
3.30
17%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier B
Comparable matches1,502
Method1X2 + O/U
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%36.4%-1.0 pp
Draw30.1%32.2%+2.2 pp
Away32.6%31.4%-1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
1.22–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.2%
1-010.7%
0-09.5%
0-19.4%
2-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.16–4.52
Average total9.68
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,501.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.526.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches504
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT29.0%25.2%–33.1% CI
Draw FT46.0%41.7%–50.4% CI
Away FT25.0%21.4%–29.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals13.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.2%
Away47.4%