La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-21 · 18:00
11.8251.6%
X3.4727.1%
24.4021.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Bilbao
WLWLDWWLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Osasuna
LDLLWWDLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.00
Against
5.90
10.20
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.30goals per match
Osasuna conceded1.40
Matchup

Osasuna attack

1.00goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.90
10.20
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.10
Match total
5.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
22.00
Match total
25.80

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.50
On target
2.70
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches660
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.6%48.3%-3.3 pp
Draw27.1%30.5%+3.4 pp
Away21.3%21.2%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.510.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.2%
1-112.4%
0-010.3%
2-19.5%
2-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.814.16
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=660.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches219
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.2%29.1%–41.7% CI
Draw FT44.7%38.3%–51.4% CI
Away FT20.1%15.3%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.9%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.1%
Away38.4%