La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 20:00
12.2641.3%
X3.4127.4%
22.9931.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Bilbao
LWLWLDWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Villarreal
WWWLDLWLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.20
Against
4.70
9.00
Total
7.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.20goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.50
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.40goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.70
9.00
Match total
7.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.00
Match total
5.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
22.60
Match total
25.70

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
5.30
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,135
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%42.6%+1.3 pp
Draw27.4%28.2%+0.8 pp
Away31.3%29.2%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.431.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
1-010.8%
2-19.3%
0-09.0%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.544.55
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,134.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches364
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.0%28.3%–38.0% CI
Draw FT42.0%37.1%–47.2% CI
Away FT25.0%20.8%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.2%
Away43.7%