La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 17:30
11.6656.3%
X3.8024.6%
24.9019.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
DLLWWWLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Oviedo
LLLDLLDLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
2.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.50
Against
6.80
7.90
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
2.50
3.40
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.90goals per match
Oviedo conceded2.50
Matchup

Oviedo attack

0.90goals per match
Celta conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.80
7.90
Match total
10.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.90
Match total
3.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
23.30
Match total
26.10

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.30
On target
3.10
18%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches721
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.3%60.3%+4.0 pp
Draw24.6%23.0%-1.6 pp
Away19.1%16.6%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.750.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.1%
2-112.9%
1-110.7%
2-010.4%
0-06.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.003.82
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=721.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches221
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT50.2%43.7%–56.8% CI
Draw FT34.8%28.9%–41.3% CI
Away FT14.9%10.8%–20.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.1%
2+ goals42.5%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.5%
Away38.9%