La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 15:15
12.4138.8%
X3.1529.7%
22.9631.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mallorca
WDWLWWLLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Vallecano
WLDLLLLDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.60
1.30
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
6.40
Against
5.80
9.90
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
3.20
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Mallorca attack

1.90goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.70
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.60goals per match
Mallorca conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
6.40
Corners against
5.80
9.90
Match total
10.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.30
Match total
5.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
25.00
Match total
25.60

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.20
On target
3.70
16%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,028
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%38.6%-0.2 pp
Draw29.7%31.4%+1.8 pp
Away31.6%30.0%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.221.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-011.5%
0-011.2%
0-19.9%
2-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.094.43
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,028.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches370
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT28.1%23.8%–32.9% CI
Draw FT45.7%40.7%–50.8% CI
Away FT26.2%22.0%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.9%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.3%
Away45.9%