La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 15:15
12.4138.8%
X3.1529.7%
22.9631.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mallorca
WDWLWWLLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Vallecano
WLDLLLLDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.60
1.30
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
6.40
Against
5.80
9.90
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
3.20
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mallorca attack
1.90goals per matchVallecano conceded1.70Matchup
Vallecano attack
0.60goals per matchMallorca conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
6.40
Corners against
5.80
9.90
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.30
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
25.00
Match total
25.60
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.20
On target
3.70
16%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,028
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%38.6%-0.2 pp
Draw29.7%31.4%+1.8 pp
Away31.6%30.0%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS48.3%
Historical average
1.22–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.2%
1-011.5%
0-011.2%
0-19.9%
2-19.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.09–4.43
Average total9.52
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,028.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.525.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches370
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT28.1%23.8%–32.9% CI
Draw FT45.7%40.7%–50.8% CI
Away FT26.2%22.0%–30.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.9%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals13.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.3%
Away45.9%