La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 17:30
11.2674.9%
X6.2615.1%
29.3910.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Espanol
WWWDLLLDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

3.10
Scored
1.30
0.50
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.10
Against
4.60
11.70
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.60
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

3.10goals per match
Espanol conceded1.70
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.30goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.60
11.70
Match total
8.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
2.90
Match total
4.70
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
20.80
Match total
26.20

Shots

18.80N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
6.90
On target
3.10
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.9%71.4%-3.5 pp
Draw15.1%21.4%+6.4 pp
Away10.0%7.1%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.551.4%
BTTS64.3%

Historical average

2.631.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-010.0%
2-18.6%
3-18.6%
1-17.1%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.173.73
Average total10.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.6%
Over 9.568.6%
Over 10.555.7%
Over 11.544.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away33.3%