La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 17:30
11.2674.9%
X6.2615.1%
29.3910.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Barcelona
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Espanol
WWWDLLLDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
3.10
Scored
1.30
0.50
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.60N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.10
Against
4.60
11.70
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.60
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Barcelona attack
3.10goals per matchEspanol conceded1.70Matchup
Espanol attack
1.30goals per matchBarcelona conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.60
11.70
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
2.90
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.10N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
20.80
Match total
26.20
Shots
18.80N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
6.90
On target
3.10
16%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.9%71.4%-3.5 pp
Draw15.1%21.4%+6.4 pp
Away10.0%7.1%-2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.551.4%
BTTS64.3%
Historical average
2.63–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-010.0%
2-18.6%
3-18.6%
1-17.1%
2-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
7.17–3.73
Average total10.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.578.6%
Over 9.568.6%
Over 10.555.7%
Over 11.544.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.0%
Away33.3%