La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 15:15
12.5037.7%
X3.2429.1%
22.8333.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
DDWWLDLDDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Valencia
LDLLWLWLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.10
Against
4.90
8.20
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.80goals per match
Valencia conceded1.60
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.00goals per match
Elche conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.90
8.20
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.60
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
26.10
Match total
22.40

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.90
On target
2.60
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches993
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.7%34.6%-3.0 pp
Draw29.1%30.3%+1.2 pp
Away33.3%35.0%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

1.221.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
0-110.4%
1-010.2%
0-08.9%
1-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.114.57
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=993.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches336
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT28.6%24.0%–33.6% CI
Draw FT40.5%35.4%–45.8% CI
Away FT31.0%26.2%–36.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.5%
Away50.0%