La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 13:00
11.7254.7%
X3.6825.6%
24.7619.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad
WLLDWWWDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Alaves
LLLLLWDLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
2.60
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.00
Against
5.50
10.50
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
3.80
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sociedad attack

2.30goals per match
Alaves conceded2.10
Matchup

Alaves attack

1.10goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.50
10.50
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.60
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.50
Match total
26.40

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
5.60
On target
4.00
18%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches871
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.7%56.0%+1.3 pp
Draw25.6%26.1%+0.5 pp
Away19.8%17.9%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.680.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.7%
2-113.5%
1-111.1%
2-09.4%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.993.93
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=871.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches268
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT46.3%40.4%–52.2% CI
Draw FT38.1%32.5%–44.0% CI
Away FT15.7%11.8%–20.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.8%
Away36.2%