La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-10 · 20:00
11.3072.6%
X5.7616.4%
28.5711.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WLWWWWWLWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Girona
DLWWWLDDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
2.10
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.20
Against
4.60
9.80
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.50
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.60goals per match
Girona conceded1.20
Matchup

Girona attack

1.10goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.60
9.80
Match total
8.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.20
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.90
Match total
27.00

Shots

18.30N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
8.00
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches136
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.6%75.0%+2.4 pp
Draw16.4%15.4%-0.9 pp
Away11.0%9.6%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.572.1%
Over 3.544.9%
BTTS59.6%

Historical average

2.530.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.0%
2-010.3%
1-08.1%
3-07.4%
2-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.773.45
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=136.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.4%54.3%–85.3% CI
Draw FT17.2%7.6%–34.5% CI
Away FT10.3%3.6%–26.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.97

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.1%
2+ goals65.5%
3+ goals34.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home86.2%
Away44.8%