La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-06 · 20:00
13.0930.2%
X3.4527.1%
22.1942.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Girona
WDWDLWDWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Villarreal
WWWWLDLWLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.80
Against
4.70
9.00
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Girona attack

1.50goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.40
Matchup

Villarreal attack

1.60goals per match
Girona conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.70
9.00
Match total
7.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.60
Match total
5.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
23.30
Match total
26.70

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.80
On target
3.70
15%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches419
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.2%32.2%+2.0 pp
Draw27.1%27.7%+0.6 pp
Away42.7%40.1%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.534.8%
BTTS60.6%

Historical average

1.371.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.7%
2-18.4%
1-28.1%
2-27.4%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.725.12
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=418.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches109
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.7%18.4%–34.6% CI
Draw FT41.3%32.5%–50.7% CI
Away FT33.0%24.9%–42.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.4%
2+ goals47.7%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.9%
Away56.9%