La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 17:30
12.8233.1%
X2.9731.5%
22.6435.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Oviedo
LDDDDDWLLW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Sevilla
LLLDLDLWDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
0.40
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
2.30
10%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.20
1H goals
1.30
0.80
2H goals
2.10
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.00
Against
4.40
8.70
Total
10.10
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
2.30
1.00
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Oviedo attack
0.40goals per matchSevilla conceded2.30Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.10goals per matchOviedo conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.00
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.40
8.70
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.60
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
24.20
Match total
25.70
Shots
10.90N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.50
On target
3.90
4%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches666
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.1%32.1%-1.0 pp
Draw31.5%33.9%+2.5 pp
Away35.4%33.9%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.517.3%
BTTS49.7%
Historical average
1.06–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.4%
0-013.2%
0-112.2%
1-09.5%
2-19.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.60–4.44
Average total9.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=666.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.542.8%
Over 10.531.2%
Over 11.522.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches241
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.6%21.4%–32.5% CI
Draw FT48.5%42.3%–54.8% CI
Away FT24.9%19.9%–30.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.05
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.5%
2+ goals29.9%
3+ goals11.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.2%
Away41.9%