La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 15:15
12.3040.6%
X3.2229.0%
23.0730.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
LDWDDDWLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Celta
WWWDWLDDWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
0.80
20%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.40
1H goals
0.50
2.00
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.90
Against
4.80
10.40
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.40
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.20goals per match
Celta conceded0.80
Matchup

Celta attack

1.20goals per match
Valencia conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.80
10.40
Match total
8.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.90
Match total
4.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
26.00
Match total
24.30

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.30
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,529
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%42.2%+1.6 pp
Draw29.0%31.4%+2.4 pp
Away30.4%26.4%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS50.2%

Historical average

1.341.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-012.4%
2-19.5%
0-09.0%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.49
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,528.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches512
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.0%29.1%–37.2% CI
Draw FT42.0%37.8%–46.3% CI
Away FT25.0%21.4%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.3%
Away45.5%