La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 20:00
13.0031.3%
X3.7724.9%
22.1543.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WWWWWWLWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Barcelona
LLWWWWLWLW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
2.10
0.70
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.10
1.70
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.80N=10
For
6.60N=10
3.60
Against
5.10
12.40
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
2.10
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
3.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

2.20goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.60
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.10goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.80N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.10
12.40
Match total
11.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.00
Match total
5.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
17.50
Match total
21.70

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
19.20N=10
7.20
On target
6.50
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches67
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.3%25.4%-6.0 pp
Draw24.9%23.9%-1.1 pp
Away43.7%50.7%+7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.0%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.537.3%
BTTS76.1%

Historical average

1.461.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-217.9%
2-113.4%
1-110.4%
1-39.0%
2-29.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.905.13
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=67.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.6%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals69.2%
3+ goals38.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away69.2%