La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 15:15
15.5117.1%
X4.2222.3%
21.5560.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mallorca
DWDWLWWLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Real Madrid
WDDDWWWWLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
6.60N=10
6.40
Against
3.50
9.80
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
0.70
3.10
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mallorca attack

1.80goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.70
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.60goals per match
Mallorca conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
6.40
Corners against
3.50
9.80
Match total
10.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.30
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
24.20
Match total
24.30

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
16.90N=10
5.40
On target
5.80
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches220
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.1%12.3%-4.8 pp
Draw22.3%20.5%-1.8 pp
Away60.7%67.3%+6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

0.882.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.2%
1-211.4%
0-29.1%
1-17.7%
2-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.196.03
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=219.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.535.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%6.2%–23.6% CI
Draw FT35.7%24.5%–48.8% CI
Away FT51.8%39.0%–64.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away69.6%