La Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-03 · 20:00
11.7254.9%
X3.7725.0%
24.7020.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
DDDDWLWDWD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Elche
LLLLDLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.60
Against
4.60
10.80
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
2.30
2.10
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.30goals per match
Elche conceded2.30
Matchup

Elche attack

0.90goals per match
Vallecano conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.60
10.80
Match total
7.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.80
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
23.00
Match total
27.40

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
5.60
On target
2.90
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches779
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.9%59.1%+4.2 pp
Draw25.0%24.0%-1.0 pp
Away20.1%16.9%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

1.800.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.4%
1-011.0%
1-110.3%
2-09.9%
0-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.203.89
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=779.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches219
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT47.0%40.5%–53.6% CI
Draw FT37.9%31.7%–44.5% CI
Away FT15.1%10.9%–20.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.0%
Away36.1%