La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 20:00
11.9148.9%
X3.7824.7%
23.5426.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWLWWWWWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Ath Madrid
DWWLLWDDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.50
Against
4.90
10.90
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
3.30
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.50goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.90
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

1.00goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.90
10.90
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.70
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
24.30
Match total
22.10

Shots

18.90N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
8.00
On target
3.20
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches280
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.9%48.6%-0.3 pp
Draw24.7%26.1%+1.4 pp
Away26.4%25.4%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS61.8%

Historical average

1.751.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
2-19.3%
1-08.9%
2-08.9%
1-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.794.50
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=280.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.4%
Over 9.559.6%
Over 10.545.7%
Over 11.533.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches74
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%38.9%–61.1% CI
Draw FT33.8%24.0%–45.1% CI
Away FT16.2%9.5%–26.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home74.3%
Away44.6%