La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 15:15
11.8151.7%
X3.3328.1%
24.6420.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
DDLLWWWLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Alaves
LLLLLLWDLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.70
Against
5.80
8.30
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.70goals per match
Alaves conceded1.90
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.70goals per match
Celta conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.80
8.30
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.90
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
22.10
Match total
25.90

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.20
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches426
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.7%52.8%+1.1 pp
Draw28.1%27.2%-0.9 pp
Away20.2%20.0%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.517.1%
BTTS44.1%

Historical average

1.400.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.8%
1-112.7%
2-011.7%
2-110.1%
0-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.483.77
Average total9.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=426.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.544.8%
Over 10.531.9%
Over 11.520.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches144
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.1%37.2%–53.3% CI
Draw FT38.2%30.7%–46.3% CI
Away FT16.7%11.5%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.9%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away35.4%