La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 13:00
11.2276.4%
X6.5414.3%
29.969.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Vallecano
WWLDLLLLDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

3.30
Scored
0.70
0.60
Conceded
1.60
90%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.50
Against
5.90
11.10
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.30
Goals scored
0.70
0.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.90
Total goals
2.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

3.30goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.60
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.70goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.90
11.10
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
2.30
Match total
5.40
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
21.30
Match total
26.70

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
7.00
On target
3.50
17%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.4%77.4%+1.0 pp
Draw14.3%16.1%+1.9 pp
Away9.4%6.5%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.572.6%
Over 3.558.1%
BTTS64.5%

Historical average

2.770.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-116.1%
1-011.3%
2-06.5%
2-16.5%
5-26.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.003.44
Average total10.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.2%
Over 9.559.7%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.535.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.0%34.2%–74.2% CI
Draw FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away30.0%