La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 20:00
12.2441.9%
X3.1330.0%
23.3428.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
LWLWLLWDDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Valencia
DLDLLWLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.40
Against
5.50
8.60
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.10goals per match
Valencia conceded1.60
Matchup

Valencia attack

0.80goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.50
8.60
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.00
Match total
4.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
29.40
Match total
23.80

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.10
On target
2.40
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,173
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%42.0%+0.1 pp
Draw30.0%32.1%+2.1 pp
Away28.1%25.8%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.300.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.6%
1-012.5%
2-010.0%
0-09.8%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.034.23
Average total9.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,172.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.6%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.533.0%
Over 11.523.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches428
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.8%30.5%–39.4% CI
Draw FT43.0%38.4%–47.7% CI
Away FT22.2%18.5%–26.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.4%
Away45.3%