La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 13:00
12.1044.7%
X3.3028.4%
23.4926.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
DDDWWLDLDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Mallorca
WLLDDLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.10
Against
7.90
8.60
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.60goals per match
Mallorca conceded1.90
Matchup

Mallorca attack

0.80goals per match
Elche conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
7.90
8.60
Match total
10.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.70
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
27.20
Match total
22.40

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
5.00
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,125
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.7%43.0%-1.7 pp
Draw28.4%32.0%+3.6 pp
Away26.9%25.0%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.381.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
2-111.4%
1-010.8%
0-010.4%
0-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.424.29
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,125.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches393
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.3%28.9%–38.1% CI
Draw FT43.0%38.2%–47.9% CI
Away FT23.7%19.7%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.2%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.4%
Away42.7%