La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-20 · 20:00
11.9348.7%
X3.6226.0%
23.7225.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
DWWWLWLWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Sociedad
DDWLDWDLWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.50
Against
4.00
9.70
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.20
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.10goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.40
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.30goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.00
9.70
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
25.00
Match total
26.90

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.70
On target
4.70
18%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches724
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.7%47.8%-0.9 pp
Draw26.0%26.8%+0.8 pp
Away25.3%25.4%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.5%
BTTS57.0%

Historical average

1.641.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
1-09.9%
2-19.4%
2-07.9%
1-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.794.32
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=724.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches199
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.7%32.2%–45.6% CI
Draw FT37.7%31.2%–44.6% CI
Away FT23.6%18.3%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.9%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals19.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.3%
Away46.2%