La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 15:15
11.2674.3%
X6.0615.5%
29.1910.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barcelona
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Sevilla
WLLLDLDLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.80
90%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.40N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.60
Against
5.30
12.00
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded
1.80
3.50
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Barcelona attack

3.00goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.80
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.00goals per match
Barcelona conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.40N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.30
12.00
Match total
11.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.50
Match total
4.70
10%1/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
21.10
Match total
26.50

Shots

20.40N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
7.10
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches81
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.3%71.6%-2.7 pp
Draw15.5%18.5%+3.1 pp
Away10.2%9.9%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.574.1%
Over 3.554.3%
BTTS59.3%

Historical average

2.741.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-19.9%
4-08.6%
3-18.6%
4-26.2%
1-06.2%

Comparable corner averages

7.223.54
Average total10.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=81.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.2%
Over 9.570.4%
Over 10.555.6%
Over 11.538.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Draw FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals62.5%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.8%
Away43.8%