La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 15:15
11.2674.3%
X6.0615.5%
29.1910.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Barcelona
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Sevilla
WLLLDLDLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
3.00
Scored
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.80
90%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
8.40N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.60
Against
5.30
12.00
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded
1.80
3.50
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Barcelona attack
3.00goals per matchSevilla conceded1.80Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.00goals per matchBarcelona conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.40N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.30
12.00
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.50
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
21.10
Match total
26.50
Shots
20.40N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
7.10
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches81
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.3%71.6%-2.7 pp
Draw15.5%18.5%+3.1 pp
Away10.2%9.9%-0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.574.1%
Over 3.554.3%
BTTS59.3%
Historical average
2.74–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-19.9%
4-08.6%
3-18.6%
4-26.2%
1-06.2%
Comparable corner averages
7.22–3.54
Average total10.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=81.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.580.2%
Over 9.570.4%
Over 10.555.6%
Over 11.538.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Draw FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.75
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals62.5%
3+ goals18.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.8%
Away43.8%