La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 20:00
11.3072.2%
X5.6616.6%
28.4111.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Elche
LLLLLDLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.10
Against
5.50
10.40
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
2.20
3.20
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.40goals per match
Elche conceded2.20
Matchup

Elche attack

0.90goals per match
Real Madrid conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.50
10.40
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.90
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
23.40
Match total
26.40

Shots

20.10N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
8.10
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches141
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.2%70.9%-1.3 pp
Draw16.6%17.7%+1.1 pp
Away11.2%11.3%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.570.9%
Over 3.540.4%
BTTS58.2%

Historical average

2.470.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.3%
2-09.2%
3-08.5%
2-27.8%
1-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.793.30
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=141.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT67.6%51.5%–80.4% CI
Draw FT21.6%11.4%–37.2% CI
Away FT10.8%4.3%–24.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.03

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.9%
2+ goals67.6%
3+ goals37.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.8%
Away48.6%