La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 17:30
12.8632.8%
X3.1130.2%
22.5337.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Oviedo
LLDDDDDWLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Valencia
LDLDLLWLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.30
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.70
10%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.20
1H goals
1.20
0.90
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.60
Against
5.10
8.80
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.30
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
1.10
Total goals
2.60
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Oviedo attack

0.30goals per match
Valencia conceded1.70
Matchup

Valencia attack

0.90goals per match
Oviedo conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
20%2/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.10
8.80
Match total
8.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.50
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
23.90
Match total
24.00

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.10
On target
2.80
3%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches579
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.8%30.7%-2.0 pp
Draw30.2%33.0%+2.8 pp
Away37.1%36.3%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.518.5%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.051.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
0-113.3%
0-013.1%
1-09.0%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.694.62
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=579.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.0%
Over 9.544.7%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.523.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches225
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT23.6%18.5%–29.5% CI
Draw FT48.0%41.6%–54.5% CI
Away FT28.4%22.9%–34.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.2%
2+ goals32.9%
3+ goals11.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.2%
Away47.6%