La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 15:15
11.5560.7%
X3.6725.6%
26.9113.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WWWWWWWLWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Getafe
LLWLLLDDWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.50
Against
4.00
11.70
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

2.20goals per match
Getafe conceded1.40
Matchup

Getafe attack

0.70goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.00
11.70
Match total
8.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
2.80
Match total
5.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
17.40
Match total
27.90

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
7.60
On target
2.70
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches61
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.7%59.0%-1.7 pp
Draw25.6%26.2%+0.6 pp
Away13.6%14.8%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.519.7%
BTTS41.0%

Historical average

1.570.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.4%
2-013.1%
2-111.5%
1-111.5%
3-09.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.363.49
Average total8.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=61.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.8%
Over 9.539.3%
Over 10.527.9%
Over 11.521.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals4.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.9%
Away33.3%