La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 13:00
12.6635.3%
X3.3128.4%
22.5936.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Girona
DWDWDLWDWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Ath Bilbao
DLLWLDLLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.30
Against
3.80
9.10
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Girona attack

1.20goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.70
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.10goals per match
Girona conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.80
9.10
Match total
8.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.50
Match total
4.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
22.90
Match total
26.60

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
4.50
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,051
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.3%32.2%-3.2 pp
Draw28.4%29.1%+0.7 pp
Away36.3%38.7%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.191.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
0-111.1%
1-09.5%
1-29.4%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.014.78
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,051.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches341
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT27.3%22.8%–32.2% CI
Draw FT38.7%33.7%–44.0% CI
Away FT34.0%29.2%–39.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals14.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.9%
Away54.3%