La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-09 · 20:00
11.8849.7%
X3.3128.3%
24.2522.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Espanol
DLWLWWLLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Oviedo
WDLLLDLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
2.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
2.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.20
Against
7.30
9.40
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
2.40
2.50
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.00goals per match
Oviedo conceded2.40
Matchup

Oviedo attack

1.10goals per match
Espanol conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
7.30
9.40
Match total
11.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.10
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
25.90
Match total
24.90

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.70
On target
3.50
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches918
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.7%50.7%+0.9 pp
Draw28.3%29.3%+1.0 pp
Away22.0%20.0%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

1.500.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-012.6%
2-111.0%
0-09.6%
2-09.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.663.90
Average total9.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=917.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.526.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches301
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT36.9%31.6%–42.5% CI
Draw FT42.9%37.4%–48.5% CI
Away FT20.3%16.1%–25.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away41.2%