La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 20:00
12.0645.5%
X3.1030.2%
23.8524.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Valencia
LLDWDDDWLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Alaves
LLLLLLLWDL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.50
1.20
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.40
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.10
Against
5.20
10.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Valencia attack

1.00goals per match
Alaves conceded1.70
Matchup

Alaves attack

0.50goals per match
Valencia conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.20
10.10
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.70
Match total
3.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
26.00
Match total
26.50

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
3.00
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches322
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.5%49.4%+3.9 pp
Draw30.2%27.3%-2.9 pp
Away24.3%23.3%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS45.0%

Historical average

1.430.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.9%
0-010.6%
1-110.2%
2-19.6%
0-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.363.87
Average total9.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=322.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.533.5%
Over 11.524.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches118
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.5%33.0%–50.5% CI
Draw FT35.6%27.5%–44.6% CI
Away FT22.9%16.2%–31.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals28.8%
3+ goals17.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.8%
Away38.1%