La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 17:30
12.4737.9%
X3.1030.2%
22.9331.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sevilla
WLWLWLLWDD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Vallecano
LWWLDLLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.80
Against
6.10
9.10
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sevilla attack
1.40goals per matchVallecano conceded1.80Matchup
Vallecano attack
0.80goals per matchSevilla conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.10
9.10
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.80
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.00N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
29.30
Match total
25.70
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.40
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches680
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.9%38.1%+0.2 pp
Draw30.2%31.3%+1.1 pp
Away31.9%30.6%-1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS47.5%
Historical average
1.16–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.4%
1-012.5%
0-011.5%
0-110.3%
2-19.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.17–4.35
Average total9.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=680.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.525.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches243
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.6%22.3%–33.5% CI
Draw FT48.1%41.9%–54.4% CI
Away FT24.3%19.3%–30.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.23
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals14.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.1%
Away45.7%