La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 17:30
12.4737.9%
X3.1030.2%
22.9331.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sevilla
WLWLWLLWDD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Vallecano
LWWLDLLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.80
Against
6.10
9.10
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.40goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.80
Matchup

Vallecano attack

0.80goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.10
9.10
Match total
11.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.80
Match total
5.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.00N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
29.30
Match total
25.70

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.40
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches680
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.9%38.1%+0.2 pp
Draw30.2%31.3%+1.1 pp
Away31.9%30.6%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.520.6%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

1.161.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
1-012.5%
0-011.5%
0-110.3%
2-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.35
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=680.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.525.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches243
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.6%22.3%–33.5% CI
Draw FT48.1%41.9%–54.4% CI
Away FT24.3%19.3%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.1%
Away45.7%