La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 13:00
11.4763.6%
X4.4920.8%
25.9915.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
WDWWWLWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Elche
DLLLLLDLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.40
Against
5.30
9.80
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
3.00
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.00goals per match
Elche conceded2.10
Matchup

Elche attack

0.90goals per match
Villarreal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.30
9.80
Match total
8.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.60
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
24.70
Match total
26.90

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
4.50
On target
2.90
17%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches214
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.6%64.0%+0.4 pp
Draw20.8%18.7%-2.1 pp
Away15.6%17.3%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.539.3%
BTTS56.5%

Historical average

2.200.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.2%
1-19.3%
2-08.9%
1-08.9%
3-06.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.283.83
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=214.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.4%34.0%–59.3% CI
Draw FT39.3%27.6%–52.4% CI
Away FT14.3%7.4%–25.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals55.4%
3+ goals19.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away53.6%