La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 20:00
14.7519.8%
X4.3121.8%
21.6158.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Bilbao
DWLWLWLDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Barcelona
WLLWWWWLWL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.30
1.20
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
2.20
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
7.10N=10
3.60
Against
5.50
9.10
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.50
Total goals
4.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Ath Bilbao attack

1.30goals per match
Barcelona conceded1.70
Matchup

Barcelona attack

2.30goals per match
Ath Bilbao conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
7.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.50
9.10
Match total
12.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
5.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
25.30
Match total
21.30

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
20.70N=10
5.40
On target
7.30
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.8%14.5%-5.2 pp
Draw21.8%27.3%+5.5 pp
Away58.4%58.2%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

1.001.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-110.9%
0-210.9%
2-110.9%
2-210.9%
1-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.805.51
Average total9.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.9%
Over 9.543.6%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals41.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away75.0%