La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 20:00
14.7519.8%
X4.3121.8%
21.6158.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Bilbao
DWLWLWLDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Barcelona
WLLWWWWLWL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
2.30
1.20
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
2.20
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
7.10N=10
3.60
Against
5.50
9.10
Total
12.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.50
Total goals
4.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Bilbao attack
1.30goals per matchBarcelona conceded1.70Matchup
Barcelona attack
2.30goals per matchAth Bilbao conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
7.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.50
9.10
Match total
12.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
25.30
Match total
21.30
Shots
16.20N=10
Shots
20.70N=10
5.40
On target
7.30
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.8%14.5%-5.2 pp
Draw21.8%27.3%+5.5 pp
Away58.4%58.2%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS60.0%
Historical average
1.00–1.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-110.9%
0-210.9%
2-110.9%
2-210.9%
1-29.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.80–5.51
Average total9.31
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.9%
Over 9.543.6%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.529.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.83
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals41.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away75.0%