La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 17:30
11.6058.7%
X3.9823.6%
25.3217.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ath Madrid
WWWWWWWWLW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Sociedad
LDDWLDWDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.10N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.60
Against
4.40
11.70
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Ath Madrid attack

2.40goals per match
Sociedad conceded1.30
Matchup

Sociedad attack

1.20goals per match
Ath Madrid conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.40
11.70
Match total
9.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.50
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
18.90
Match total
27.10

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
7.40
On target
4.60
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches347
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.7%61.4%+2.7 pp
Draw23.6%23.9%+0.3 pp
Away17.7%14.7%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS56.5%

Historical average

1.980.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
2-011.0%
2-110.7%
1-010.4%
3-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.443.79
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=347.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.546.1%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches85
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.1%43.6%–64.3% CI
Draw FT32.9%23.9%–43.5% CI
Away FT12.9%7.4%–21.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.1%
2+ goals49.4%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.3%
Away44.7%