La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 17:30
11.6058.7%
X3.9823.6%
25.3217.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ath Madrid
WWWWWWWWLW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Sociedad
LDDWLDWDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.10N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.60
Against
4.40
11.70
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ath Madrid attack
2.40goals per matchSociedad conceded1.30Matchup
Sociedad attack
1.20goals per matchAth Madrid conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.40
11.70
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.50
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.20N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
18.90
Match total
27.10
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
7.40
On target
4.60
15%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches347
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.7%61.4%+2.7 pp
Draw23.6%23.9%+0.3 pp
Away17.7%14.7%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS56.5%
Historical average
1.98–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
2-011.0%
2-110.7%
1-010.4%
3-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.44–3.79
Average total10.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=347.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.546.1%
Over 11.532.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches85
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.1%43.6%–64.3% CI
Draw FT32.9%23.9%–43.5% CI
Away FT12.9%7.4%–21.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.60
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.1%
2+ goals49.4%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.3%
Away44.7%