La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-06 · 20:00
13.1529.9%
X3.3328.3%
22.2541.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Celta
DDDLLWWWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Real Madrid
LWDDDWWWWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.40
Against
4.10
8.90
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.80
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Celta attack

1.70goals per match
Real Madrid conceded1.10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

1.60goals per match
Celta conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.10
8.90
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.90
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.10
Match total
25.80

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
16.10N=10
4.50
On target
5.70
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches883
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.9%30.1%+0.2 pp
Draw28.3%25.0%-3.2 pp
Away41.8%44.8%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.161.44

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
1-211.1%
0-110.9%
1-09.2%
0-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.645.24
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=883.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches275
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.7%27.5%–38.5% CI
Draw FT33.5%28.1%–39.2% CI
Away FT33.8%28.5%–39.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.6%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals20.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.7%
Away54.9%