La Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-04 · 18:00
11.6856.0%
X3.6325.9%
25.2218.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
LWDDDDWLWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Oviedo
LWDLLLDLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
2.20
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.70
Against
6.40
11.10
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
2.20
1.80
Total goals
3.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.00goals per match
Oviedo conceded2.20
Matchup

Oviedo attack

1.10goals per match
Vallecano conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.40
11.10
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
3.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
23.80
Match total
25.60

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.60
On target
3.70
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches545
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.0%56.1%+0.1 pp
Draw25.9%27.0%+1.0 pp
Away18.0%16.9%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.680.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.9%
1-012.8%
1-112.7%
2-09.2%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.933.62
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=545.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.7%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.526.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches184
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.8%33.9%–48.0% CI
Draw FT38.6%31.9%–45.8% CI
Away FT20.7%15.4%–27.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.8%
Away42.4%