La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-25 · 15:15
11.4665.1%
X4.8919.4%
26.1515.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Villarreal
DWWDLDDWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Sevilla
LWDWDWLLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.20
50%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.60
Against
4.60
11.60
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Villarreal attack

2.20goals per match
Sevilla conceded1.30
Matchup

Sevilla attack

1.30goals per match
Villarreal conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.60
11.60
Match total
8.70
100%10/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.00
Match total
4.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
23.20
Match total
25.10

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
6.00
On target
4.70
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches153
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.1%58.8%-6.3 pp
Draw19.4%26.8%+7.4 pp
Away15.5%14.4%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.543.1%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

2.251.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-19.2%
1-08.5%
2-17.8%
0-07.8%
3-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.203.82
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=153.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.556.2%
Over 10.547.7%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.1%15.6%–45.4% CI
Draw FT50.0%33.6%–66.4% CI
Away FT21.9%11.0%–38.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.5%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.9%
Away40.6%