La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-24 · 17:30
11.3272.3%
X5.4217.6%
29.4010.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leganes
LWLDWLDLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Valladolid
LLLLLLLLLL
0W 0D 10L · 0.00 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
3.30
40%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.80
2.00
2H goals
2.40
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
2.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.70
Against
4.30
9.50
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
3.30
3.10
Total goals
4.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leganes attack
1.40goals per matchValladolid conceded3.30Matchup
Valladolid attack
0.90goals per matchLeganes conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.70
Corners against
4.30
9.50
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.60
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.70N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
27.60
Match total
22.50
Shots
8.10N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
2.90
On target
3.70
17%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches189
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.3%76.2%+3.9 pp
Draw17.6%15.9%-1.7 pp
Away10.1%7.9%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.538.6%
BTTS42.3%
Historical average
2.28–0.66
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.9%
2-110.6%
2-09.5%
0-07.9%
4-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
7.66–2.99
Average total10.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=189.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.4%
Over 9.558.7%
Over 10.548.7%
Over 11.538.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%44.1%–69.2% CI
Draw FT33.9%22.9%–47.0% CI
Away FT8.9%3.9%–19.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.3%
Away23.2%