La Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-24 · 15:15
11.4267.0%
X5.0418.9%
26.7214.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Real Madrid
WWDWWWLWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Sociedad
LLLLLDWDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

9.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.40
Against
5.70
13.00
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
2.20
3.50
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Real Madrid attack

2.30goals per match
Sociedad conceded2.20
Matchup

Sociedad attack

0.80goals per match
Real Madrid conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.70
13.00
Match total
10.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.20
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.00N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
21.10
Match total
23.60

Shots

22.00N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
8.50
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.0%69.0%+2.1 pp
Draw18.9%20.2%+1.4 pp
Away14.2%10.7%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.547.6%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

2.450.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-09.5%
3-19.5%
2-18.3%
1-18.3%
3-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.263.94
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.2%
Over 9.561.9%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away50.0%